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Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #412

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #412

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Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #412

Quote of the Week: “Aqueous vapor [water vapor] is a blanket, more necessary to the vegetable life of England than clothing is to man. Remove for a single summer-night the aqueous vapor from the air which overspreads this country, and you would assuredly destroy every plant capable of being destroyed by a freezing temperature. The…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #412


Boa Vista, Brazil from Brazilian National Institute of Meteorology (1981-2010 normal)

2 degrees 49 min N

Population 375,374

Elevation 90 m (300 ft)

March average high 34.2⁰C (93.6) average low 24.3⁰C (75.7⁰F) Sunshine hours: 142

June – Average high 31.2⁰C (88.2) average low 23.1⁰C (73.6⁰F) Sunshine hours: 93.5

September– average high 34.2⁰C (93.6) average low 24.2⁰C (75.6⁰F) Sunshine hours: 200.7

December– average high 33.8⁰C (92.8) average low 24.3⁰C (75.7⁰F) Sunshine hours: 173.5

Heavy rain in the May to August, 321.3 mm (12.65 in) in June,_Roraima

CONCLUSION: Compared to Mars, with little atmosphere and the primary gas being CO2, the stability (lack of variation) of daily temperatures on Earth is remarkable. As Tyndall implied, without the greenhouse effect, the nighttime temperatures on Earth’s land masses would be well below freezing, preventing growth of vegetation. Yet the UN IPCC and others claim a small increase in the greenhouse effect, occurring at night, will be dangerous to human health?

See links:,F%20(minus%2073%20C).


Twitter Censorship Update

By Tony Heller, His Blog, June 17, 2020

Challenging the Orthodoxy — NIPCC

Climate Change Reconsidered II: Physical Science

Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), 2013


Climate Change Reconsidered II: Biological Impacts

Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), 2014


Climate Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels

By Multiple Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change, April 2019

Download with no charge:

Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming

The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus

By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015

Download with no charge:

Nature, Not Human Activity, Rules the Climate

S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008

Global Sea-Level Rise: An Evaluation of the Data

By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Policy Brief, May 20, 2019

Challenging the Orthodoxy

MIT’s Dr. Lindzen Pokes Fun At The ‘Naïve’, Well-Funded ‘Scientific Reasoning’ That 1 Factor – CO2 – Controls Climate

By Kenneth Richard, No Tricks Zone, June 15, 2020

Link to paper: An oversimplified picture of the climate behavior based on a single process can lead to distorted conclusions

By Richard S. Lindzen, The European Physical Journal Plus, June 3, 2020

Climate Statistics 101: see the Slide Show AOC Tried, and Failed, to Censor

Video, By Caleb Rossiter, CO2 Coalition, Via WUWT, June 18, 2020

Climate Matters: A Climate of Fear about Climate Conversations (w/Michelle Stirling)

45 minute video, June 18, 2020

Seeking if the science is settled.

[SEPP Comment: Interrupted by ads. Ms. Stirling discusses Risky Business built on the most extreme scenario by the IPCC.]

Defending the Orthodoxy

World has six months to avert climate crisis, says energy expert

International Energy Agency chief warns of need to prevent post-lockdown surge in emissions

By Fiona Harvey, The Guardian, June 18, 2020 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

Link to report: Shaping a secure and sustainable energy future for all.

By Staff, EIA, 2020

“In a report published on Thursday, the IEA – the world’s gold standard for energy analysis – set out the first global blueprint for a green recovery, focusing on reforms to energy generation and consumption. Wind and solar power should be a top focus, the report advised, alongside energy efficiency improvements to buildings and industries, and the modernisation of electricity grids.”

[SEPP Comment: The “world’s gold standard for energy analysis” may be selling fool’s gold.]

UN: Covid-19, Climate Change and Racial Justice are all Linked

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, June 15, 2020

Covid-19 pandemic is ‘fire drill’ for effects of climate crisis, says UN official

Lise Kingo says social equality issues must be part of sustainable development agenda

By Fiona Harvey, The Guardian, June 15, 2020 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

Link to UN Global Compact Leaders Summit, June 15 & 16

A War Against Climate Science, Waged by Washington’s Rank and File

By Lisa Friedman, NYT, June 15, 2020

“A case in point: When John Crusius, a research chemist at the United States Geological Survey, published an academic paper on natural solutions to climate change in April, his government affiliation never appeared on it. It couldn’t.”

[SEPP Comment: Insisting the place of employment of the author not appear on a paper is equivalent to censoring it? Perhaps there has been too much non-science from NASA-GISS and NOAA contradicted by physical evidence.]

Restrictions on science not limited to Trump administration’s highest ranks: report

By Rebecca Beitsch, The Hill, June 15, 2020

See link immediately above. [SEPP Comment: Is each complaining employee saying his / hers work is pure science? Far too much EPA work is political science, not related to physical evidence.]

Questioning the Orthodoxy

The Climate Campaign Is Less And Less About The Climate

By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, June 18, 2020

[SEPP Comment: Does a US District Judge in Montana have jurisdiction in Virginia?]

The Green Civil War

By Joel Kotkin, Real Clear Energy, June 18, 2020

[SEPP Comment: Partly reviewing Michael Shellenberger’s new book, “Apocalypse Never.”

Congrats! US, Sweden, Australia have more climate “deniers” than anywhere

By Jo Nova, Her Blog, June 17, 2020

Wealth: It is a difficult concept

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, June 17, 2020

“Politicians being famously good at saying one thing, doing another and thinking a third, the EU response to the wealth-destroying impact of climate policies has been to fudge, for instance exempting the aviation industry from tough rules in the hopes of reviving tourism.”

Deep Learning’s Climate Change Problem

By Rob Toews, Forbes, June 17, 2020 [H/t WUWT]

“The bottom line: AI has a meaningful carbon footprint today, and if industry trends continue it will soon become much worse. Unless we are willing to reassess and reform today’s AI research agenda, the field of artificial intelligence could become an antagonist in the fight against climate change in the years ahead.”

[SEPP Comment: Unreliable power is of no help. With a power outage, what is being processed disappears.]

After Paris!

Despite pandemic China increases coal production, has 5,000 coal mines, and a glut of new plants

By Jo Nova, Her Blog, June 19, 2020

China’s New Coal Push As Relations With West Sour

By Staff, Bloomberg, Via GWPF, June 16, 2020

India Unleashing Coal: PM Modi Announces New Coal Boom, Privatisation Of Coal Mines

By Staff, IANS News Service, Via GWPF, June 18, 2020

Change in US Administrations

Toward Serious Reform of Benefit/Cost Analysis Under the Clean Air Act

By Benjamin Zycher, Real Clear Markets, June 17, 2020

Trump administration sued over marine monument rollback

By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, June 17, 2020

“President Trump issued a proclamation this month that would reopen the Northeast Canyons and Seamounts Marine National Monument, 130 miles off the coast of Massachusetts, for commercial fishing.”

Problems in the Orthodoxy

Disclosure of climate-related financial risks not enough to drive action

News Release, by Griffith University, June 15, 2020 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

Link to paper: Climate-related financial disclosures in the public sector

By Edwards, Yapp, Mackay & Mackey, Nature Climate Change, May 25, 2020

Seeking a Common Ground

Mass spectrometry and climate science. Part I: Determining past climates

By Roland Hirsch, Climate Etc. June 16, 2020

Some Random Quantum Thoughts

Guest post by Rud Istvan, WUWT, June 19, 2020

The Trouble with Water: Condensation, Circulation and Climate

By Geoffrey K. Vallis, The European Physical Journal Plus, June 8, 2020

Science, Policy, and Evidence

Sky News: Aussie Royal Commission to Investigate how Climate Activists “Hijacked” Forestry Management

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, June 19, 2020

[SEPP Comment: Highlights the difference between studying the physical world as compared with studying the modeled world!]

Review of Recent Scientific Articles by CO2 Science

Long-term Carbon Accumulation Rates of Two Alaska Peatlands

Taylor, L.S., Swindles, G.T., Morris, P.J., Galka, M. and Green, S.M. 2019. Evidence for ecosystem state shifts in Alaskan continuous permafrost peatlands in response to recent warming. Quaternary Science Reviews 207: 134-144. June 19, 2020

“The greatly enhanced sequestration of carbon by the peatlands in modern times was attributed by the authors to the recent warming observed since the end of the Little Ice Age, leading them to conclude ‘our work demonstrates that some Arctic peatlands may become more productive with future regional warming, subsequently increasing their ability to sequester carbon,’ adding that ‘as the Arctic continues to warm, peatlands in the continuous permafrost zone may become an increasingly important carbon sink.’ And this latter conclusion is a far cry from the model projections cited by the authors of the Arctic becoming a net carbon source by the mid-2020s!”

A 423-year Moisture Reconstruction for San Luis Potosi, Mexico

Villanueva-Díaz, J., Stahle, D.W., Therrell, M.D., Beramendi-Orosco, L., Estrada-Ávalos, J., Martínez-Sifuentes, A.R., Astudillo-Sánchez, C.C., Cervantes-Martínez, R. and Cerano-Paredes, J. 2020. The climatic response of baldcypress (Taxodium mucronatum Ten.) in San Luis Potosi, Mexico. Trees 34: 623-635. June 17, 2020

“The observed cyclic nature of the reconstruction, coupled with what appears to be an absence of any trend in the data, suggests that rising concentrations of atmospheric CO2 have had no measurable impact on droughts or pluvials in the region of San Luis Potosi over the past 423 years. And that suggests no vindication for the models’ projections on moisture. Rather, it points toward their invalidation in this regard!”

No Response of a Toxic Algae to Ocean Acidification and Warming

Li, P.F., Yang, G.P., Liu, C.Y. 2020. Combined effects of elevated temperature and pCO2 on the production of DMSP and DMS in the culture of Amphidinium carterae. Journal of Applied Phycology June 15, 2020

“The above findings represent good news given the toxic nature of this species and its ability to cause red tides. But you probably won’t find any acidification alarmists publicizing or rejoicing at it!”

Model Issues

We caught bacteria from the most pristine air on earth to help solve a climate modeling mystery

By Kathryn Moore, Jun Uetake and Thomas Hill, The Conversation, Via June 19, 2020 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

“But due to how remote the Southern Ocean is, there have been very few actual studies of the clouds there. Because of this lack of data, computer models that simulate present and future climates overpredict how much sunlight reaches the ocean surface compared to what satellites actually observe. The main reason for this inaccuracy is due to how the models simulate clouds, but nobody knew exactly why the clouds were off. For the models to run correctly, researchers needed to understand how the clouds were being formed.”

Model Failures: Inflated Pandemic Estimates Weaken Climate Forecasts

By Adam Creighton, The Australian, Via GWPF, June 17, 2020

“It’s remarkable we put so much faith in expert models, given their history of failure.”

Video: How simple math can help predict the melting of sea ice

By Charles Rotter, The Conversation, Via WUWT, June 16, 2020

Measurement Issues — Surface

Beware of Crazy Snowpack Percentages!

By Cliff Mass Weather Blog, June 18, 2020

This Date In 1917 – 128 Degrees At Ojai, California

By Tony Heller, His Blog, June 16, 2020

1919 or 2019? Kingston Edition

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, June 17, 2020

Changing Weather

What has caused more extreme summer heat events over northeast Asia?

News Release by Chinese Academy of Sciences, June 15, 2020 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

Link to paper: Attribution of the record-breaking heat event over Northeast Asia in summer 2018: the role of circulation

By Ren, Zhou, and Zhang, Environmental Research Letters, May 12, 2020

Massive Saharan dust plume headed for the Gulf of Mexico, Florida

By Anthony Watts, WUWT, June 18, 2020

Are Weekends Wetter than Weekdays?

By Cliff Mass Weather Blog, June 13, 2020

Changing Seas

Mangroves at risk of collapse if emissions not reduced by 2050, international scientists predict

By Charles Rotter, WUWT, June 17, 2020

Link to paper:Thresholds of mangrove survival under rapid sea level rise

By N. Saintilan, et al. Science, June 5, 2020,keep%20up%20with%20the%20change.

From the write-up: “They reviewed data on mangrove accretion 10,000 to 7000 years before present, when the rate of sea level rise was even higher than today as a result of glacial ice melt. Their analysis suggests an upper threshold of 7 millimeters per year as the maximum rate of sea level rise associated with mangrove vertical development, beyond which the ecosystem fails to keep up with the change.”

[SEPP Comment: What about the period 16,000 to 9,000 years ago, when sea level rise was far more rapid?]

What if NASA’s new ocean satellite finds sea level rise isn’t the problem it’s touted to be?

By Anthony Watts, WUWT, June 16, 2020

Changing Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice

My polar bear podcast interview with Anthony Watts from WUWT

By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, June 19, 2020

No early breakup for W Hudson Bay sea ice again this year: polar bears still on the ice

By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, June 14, 2020

Alaska Global Warming Update

By Tony Heller, His Blog, June 19, 2020

Greenland’s Summer Melt Late Starting

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, June 19, 2020

A possible explanation for why West Antarctica is warming faster than East Antarctica

By Bob Yirka ,, June 15, 2020 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

Link to paper: The internal origin of the west-east asymmetry of Antarctic climate change

By Sang-Yoon Jun, June 12, 2020

[SEPP Comment: Discusses feedbacks but not the possible cause of the warming such as geothermal activity in the West Antarctic under the ice.]

Natural Climate Change in Antarctica Is No News!

By David Whitehouse, GWPF, June 18, 2020

Changing Earth

Coal-burning in Siberia after volcanic eruption led to climate change 250 million years ago

News Release, Arizona State University, June 16, 2020 [H/t WUWT]

Link to paper: Field evidence for coal combustion links the 252 Ma Siberian Traps with global carbon disruption

By.T. Elkins-Tanton, et al, Geology, June 12, 2020

From the news release: “Calculations of sea water temperature indicate that at the peak of the extinction, the Earth underwent lethally hot global warming, in which equatorial ocean temperatures exceeded 104 degrees Fahrenheit. It took millions of years for ecosystems to be re-established and for species to recover.”

[SEPP Comment: No relationship between CO2 concentrations and ocean temperatures presented! Speculation!]

Acidic Waters

Arctic Ocean acidification worse than previously expected

Real Life. Real News. Real Voices

Help us tell more of the stories that matter

Become a founding member

News Release, University of Bern, June 17, 2020 [H/t WUWT]

Link to paper: Emergent constraint on Arctic Ocean acidification in the twenty-first century

By Jens Terhaar, Nature, June 17, 2020

[SEPP Comment: Exaggeration greater than previously exaggerated? Use extreme language to claim extreme results from using extreme models of CO2 emissions – modern climate science?]

A carbon sink shrinks in the arctic

UD researchers show Canada Basin’s diminished capacity to absorb carbon dioxide

News Release, University of Delaware, June 15, 2020

[SEPP Comment: So Arctic waters are not absorbing as much CO2 and lowering pH as what was once feared?]

Agriculture Issues & Fear of Famine

Could entomophagy end U.S. and African protein shortages?

By Paul Driessen, WUWT, June 16, 2020

Is There Bias In How We Judge GMOs?

By Chuck Dinerstein, ACSH, June 10, 2020

Lowering Standards

UK is no longer a ‘wet and rainy’ country, head of Environment Agency says

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, June 19, 2020

IEA: ‘Green’ coronavirus recovery would keep global emissions below 2019 peak

By Josh Gabbatiss, Carbon Brief, June 18, 2020

[SEPP Comment: The EIA and the World Bank display that their analyses cannot be accepted at face value.]

Rock around the thermometer

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, June 17, 2020

“In ‘Climate Fwd,’ the megawoke newsletter of the New York Times, Kendra Pierre-Louis discusses increasing references to climate change in American popular music. Which is the sort of thing that tends to give the social sciences a bad name.”

Communicating Better to the Public – Make things up.

We are all going to die

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, June 17, 2020

“‘Collapse of Civilisation is the Most Likely Outcome’: Top Climate Scientists”.

“It’s because ‘reputable’ journalistic sources accept this ‘delicate balance’ claim that they cannot see through, and instead endorse, all these hysterical claims that one misstep and it’s all over, the thing is smashed, we’ve tipped over the tipping points and we… are… all… going… to… die.”

Amazing Noctilucent Clouds

By Cliff Mass Weather Blog, June 20, 2020

[SEPP Comment; Strongly question the graph showing hockey-stick style increases in atmospheric methane since the year 1000! How was atmospheric methane measured for the past 1000 years?]

Claim: Surgical General Anaesthetic is Contributing to Climate Change

By Eric Worrall, June 17, 2020

Link to paper: ‘Green-gional’ anesthesia: the non-polluting benefits of regional anesthesia to decrease greenhouse gases and attenuate climate change

By Mausam Kuvadia, et al, BMJ Journals, May 6, 2020

Communicating Better to the Public – Do a Poll?

Claim: People Believe in Global Warming, But Choose Not to Act

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, June 20, 2020

The number of climate deniers in Australia is more than double the global average, new survey finds

By Caroline Fisher and Sora Park, The Conversation, Via Phys.Org, June 16, 2020 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

Communicating Better to the Public – Use Children for Propaganda

The Swedish Teenager Interfering in Canadian Politics

Democracy dies when activists wield more influence than voters.

By Donna Laframboise, Big Picture News, June 15, 2020

Questioning European Green

The European Green Deal is a Bad Deal

By Marcus Holtkoetter: Altenberge, Germany, AG Web, June 14, 2020 [H/t WUWT]

No Wind, No Sun–But Plenty Of Gas & Nuclear!

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, June 19, 2020

“And what do we get for £10bn worth of renewable subsidies?

“A load of capacity which often is next to useless, and a grid which still relies on gas and nuclear for 82% of demand, and a further 9% from biomass which could have been obtained at half the price from burning coal instead!”

Questioning Green Elsewhere

Change How You Live

By Donn Dears, Power For USA, June 19, 2020

Time to Abandon Progressive Democrats’ Climate Change Wish Lists

By Frank Lasee, Inside Sources, June 18, 2020

Green Jobs

Clean energy industry sheds 27,000 jobs in May

By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, June 16, 2020

“Energy efficiency, the largest clean energy sector, also lost a greater number of jobs than other parts of the energy sector, losing 18,900 jobs. Nearly y 4,300 jobs in renewable electric power generation were also lost.”

[SEPP Comment: According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the total US job loss in May was about 8 million! See link immediately below.]]

Non-Green Jobs

The U.S. Has Already Lost More Than 100,000 Oil And Gas Jobs

By Staff, Rystad Energy, Via Oil June 14, 2020

Funding Issues

ROSS CLARK: From Ethiopian girl band to Kenyans listening to toads… how staff at Dfid spent YOUR millions

Boris Johnson made the call to abolish the standalone Department for International Development (Dfid)

Millions of taxpayers’ money has been going overseas to questionable sources

The Ethiopian ‘Spice Girls’, palm oil plantations and Nigeria’s solar industry have all benefitted from payments

By Ross Clark, Daily Mail, June 16, 2020 [H/t GWPF]

Trust us, it’s for your own good

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, June 17, 2020

Democrats unveil $1.5 trillion infrastructure plan

By Rebecca Bitsch, The Hill, June 18, 2020

Litigation Issues

Supreme Court ruling seen as boon to natural gas pipelines

By Amy Harder, Axios, June 16, 2020

“Justice Clarence Thomas, writing for the majority, said under the lower court ruling that Monday’s decision overturned, any pipeline crossing at similar “footpaths” controlled by the Park Service would need an act of Congress for approval.

“21 such footpaths exist across the country comprising at least tens of thousands of miles, per Thomas’ opinion, according to Gary Kruse, managing director of research at LawIQ, an energy regulatory analytics and advisory firm.”

[SEPP Comment: Not to mention the hundreds of roads, transmission lines, and even the Erie Canal!]

Supreme Court Decision Big Win for Energy—and America

Ben Lieberman. CEI, June 15, 2020

A Few More Thoughts On The Very Stupid Oil-As-Nuisance Litigations

By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, June 13, 2020

[SEPP Comment: Explaining the legal tactics the litigation lawyers use to bring nuisance litigation against oil companies. And the lawyers call the companies greedy?]

Montana judge upholds ruling that canceled Keystone XL pipeline permit

By Timothy Gardner, Reuters, May 11, 2020

[SEPP Comment: The judge in question is the Chief United States District Judge of the United States District Court for the District of Montana.]

Subsidies and Mandates Forever

Dummies Guide To Renewable Subsidies

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, June 13, 2020

[SEPP Comment: How subsidies are paid.]

Dummies Guide To Renewable Subsidies–Part II

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, June 16, 2020

[SEPP Comment; How much the subsidies cost the public.]

EPA and other Regulators on the March

Criteria Pollutant Emissions and Precursors Decline 7 Percent Under Trump

By Marlo Lewis, CEI, June 12, 2020

EPA faces suit over plan to release genetically engineered mosquitoes

By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, June 15, 2020

Several groups, including the Center for Food Safety, the International Center for Technology Assessment and Friends of the Earth filed a notice of intent to sue on Friday.

[SEPP Comment: Center for Food Safety wants mosquitoes?]

Energy Issues – Non-US

In-depth: BP data reveals clean electricity matched coal for the first time in 2019

By Simon Evans, Carbon Brief, June 18, 2020

[SEPP Comment: Mixing apples with oranges. As explained in the May 23 TWTW, the EIA cautions against comparing dispatchable generation with non-dispatchable. Only in a fantasy world do wind and solar work 24/7.]

German Power Prices Climb 116% Since Year 2000 …Government Levies, Taxes Tripled!

By P Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, June 14, 2020

Energy Issues – Australia

It Doesn’t Have to be This Way: Australia’s Energy Crisis, America’s Energy Surplus

By Alex Robson, The United States Studies Centre, University of Sydney, 2020


SA: Still at risk of blackout, one third of solar PV “switching off” to save state, needs $1.5b interconnector bandaid to NSW

Why do so few see the enormous subsidy cost of keeping the South Australian electricity experiment alive?

By Jo Nova, Her Blog, June 19, 2020

“That’s a $1,500,000,000 repair bill for an unreliable system that cost a fortune to build, but is unsustainable without a giant bandaid.”

Energy Issues — US

Virginia’s latest folly — offshore wind power

By David Wojick, CFACT, June 18, 2020

Colorado Utility Will Close Coal Plant 16 Years Early

By Darrell Proctor, Power Mag, June 16, 2020

CLIMATE CHANGED: Oregon bids goodbye to coal power

By Nick Rosenberger EO Media Group/Catalyst Journalism Project, June 13, 2020 [H/t Ken Schlichte]

Nuclear Energy and Fears

Rolls-Royce triggers £250bn nuclear race: Huge boost for economy if UK consortium gets go-ahead to build fleet of mini reactor plants

By Neil Craven, Financial Mail, June 13, 2020

OPG Becomes First Utility to Snag Ownership Stake in Nuclear Microreactor Project

By Sonal Patel, Power Mag, June 16, 2020

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Solar and Wind

PM Modi’s mega international grid plan a key pillar of poverty alleviation, energy access agenda: Amitabh Kant

“This is a path-breaking project and has a big vision. Solar energy is the future, grid management will be critical. This is the future of energy in the coming era,” Kant said speaking at the ETEnergyworld Virtual Roundtable on Solar Energy Storage & Inter-Continental Grids

By Staff, Energy Times, June 20, 2020

“In phase I, the middle east, South Asia and South East Asia will be inter-connected. In the second phase, solar and other renewable energy resource-rich regions will be inter-connected. In the second phase, solar and other renewable energy resource-rich regions will be inter-connected.”

“’For example, the North Sea is rich in wind and the Sahara is rich in solar. And in the third phase, we would vie for the global interconnection of the power transmission grid to achieve the One Sun One World One Grid vision,’ he said.”

Study: Hundreds of ‘protected areas’ threatened by renewable energy

Green agenda will create ‘increasing pressure’ on wilderness regions

By Staff, WND, June 14, 2020

Link to study: Renewable energy development threatens many globally important biodiversity areas

By José Andrés Rehbein, Global Change Biology, March 2020

In Iowa, conservative group looks to counter local wind, solar opposition

By Karen Uhlenhuth, Energy News, June 17, 2020

“‘We’re protecting private property rights,’ said Nick Boeyink, Land & Liberty’s Iowa field operations director. ‘There are lots of landowners that, with bad policy, wouldn’t have the freedom to receive income on their land. They should be allowed to do with that land what they please.’”

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Energy — Other

Green Haste Will Trash The Promise Of Hydrogen

Press Release, The Global Warming Policy Foundation, June 19, 2020

Link to report: Hydrogen: The Once And Future Fuel

By John Constable, GWPF, 2020

Call For UK Hydrogen Strategy

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, June 18, 2020

“There’s going to be a long queue forming for all of these billions of public funds promised to turbocharge growth. Yesterday it was the turn of the Hydrogen Strategy Now group to push their way to the front of the line:”

Hydrogen May Be a Lifeline for Nuclear—But It Won’t Be Easy

By Sonal Patel, Power Mag, June 11, 2020

Germany’s Climate Friendly Hydrogen Strategy

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, June 22, 2020

[SEPP Comment: Estimates the energy loss of this scheme to be about 60%.]

Germany plans to spend billions funding green hydrogen

By Maz Plechinger, Energy Watch, EU, June 10, 2020 [H/t WUWT]

Britain’s Dirty Secret Of Subsidised Wood-Fired Power Plants

By Staff, The Times, Via GWPF, June 15, 2020

Folly: Germany Plans To Convert Coal Power Plant To Burn 100-Year Old Trees In Minutes!

By Die kalte Sonne, (Translated/edited by P. Gosselin), No Tricks Zone, June 16, 2020

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Energy — Storage

Climate emission killer: construction begins on world’s biggest liquid air battery

Exclusive: project will store renewable energy and reduce climate-heating emissions

By Damian Carrington, The Guardian, June 18, 2020 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

“The Highview battery will store 250MWh of energy, almost double the amount stored by the biggest chemical battery, built by Tesla in South Australia.

“The project will cost £85m, and Highview received £35m of investment from the Japanese machinery giant Sumitomo in February.”

[SEPP Comment: Peanuts compared to Bath County pumped hydro with 24,000 Megawatt hours (MWh) but it needs reliable nuclear and coal fired plants to recharge.]

Guardian’s Energy Storage Delusion

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, June 18, 2020

“As I revealed last October, this new Highview plant will store only 250 MWh. This, as anyone with the slightest knowledge of the power system will tell you, is a pitifully small amount. On a normal day, demand is close to 1 million MWh, so you would need 4000 Highviews to cover that if we did not have proper backup capacity for when renewables were not producing.”

See link immediately above.

Plunging Renewable Energy Prices Mean U.S. Can Hit 90% Clean Electricity By 2035 – At No Extra Cost

By Silvio Marcacci, Forbes, June 9, 2020

[SEPP Comment: Repeating the fiction by the Goldman School of Public Policy. The demonstration on El Hierro using wind with pumped hydro storage failed, but it will work in a nation 30,000 times the population? The demonstration on King Island using wind and solar, with multiple types of storage failed, but it will work in a country with 200,000 times the population?]

California Dreaming

PG&E pleads guilty to 84 felony counts of involuntary manslaughter in 2018 Camp Fire

By J. Edward Moreno, The Hill, June 16, 2020


[SEPP Comment: According Article XII, Section 3 of the state constitution, as a public utility PG&E is a public utility subject to control by the legislature. Will the legislature be held accountable?]

In the Middle of a Severe Recession, California Prepares To Raise Its Gas Tax to 50 Cents a Gallon

The Golden State has the highest gas tax in the nation, and one of its worst-performing highway systems.

By Christian Britschgi, Reason, June 15, 2020

Climate Study: Black Expectant US Mothers Especially at Risk from Heat Exposure

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, June 19, 2020

Association of Air Pollution and Heat Exposure With Preterm Birth, Low Birth Weight, and Stillbirth in the US: A Systematic Review

By Bruce Bekkar, et al, JAMA, June 18, 2020

COVID-19 and Environmentalist Injustice

By Steve Milloy, Real Clear Energy, June 16, 2020

Oh Mann!

Tree Rings & Michael Mann’s Hockey Stick

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, June 14, 2020

Environmental Industry

Conservative climate group runs pro-environment ads on Fox News

By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, June 15, 2020

[SEPP Comment: Complete with chimneys belching black steam darkening the skies!]

Other News that May Be of Interest

Asphalt Paves the Way

By American Oil & Gas Historical Society, Via Master Resource, June 18, 2020

GE: Contra-Capitalism’s Toll (lightbulb unit sold)

By Robert Bradley Jr, Master Resource, June 15, 2020


Collapsology: The Rise Of A New Doomsday Cult & The Return Of The Dark Ages

By Staff, The Sunday Telegraph, Via GWPF, June 14, 2020

“Demand to learn how to become a collapsologist is also rising, according to Rémi Richart, an IT expert who has been living a self-sufficient, low-carbon life with his wife and three children in the rural Cantal for 10 years. They have a pedal-driven washing machine and solar oven.”

We need a global treaty

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, June 17, 2020

[SEPP Comment: Time for action! Stop magnetic field change!]

Oceanfront Property In Arizona

By Tony Heller, His Blog, June 12, 2020

To Halt Climate Change, We Need an Ecological Leninism

By Charles Rotter, WUWT, June 17, 2020

Link to article: “To Halt Climate Change, We Need an Ecological Leninism

By Andreas Malm, Jacobin, June 15, 2020

[SEPP Comment: Complete with firing squads, deliberate famine, and concentration camps?]

Vegans Fall Out Over Gretaburger

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, June 18, 2020

“The plant-based burger’s description on Uber Eats says it’s ‘full of hot air, light on facts and high in carbon monoxide’.”


What Covid Models Get Wrong

Focus on the burden on hospitals, not on the oft-mistaken forecasts.

Editorial, WSJ, June 17, 2020

TWTW Summary: Much of what is said in this editorial, particularly about models, applies to the climate models as well.

Here we go again. The University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation has issued a new forecast that Covid-19 fatalities would spike over the summer in states that have moved faster to reopen. Cue the media drumbeat for another lockdown. Maybe someone should first explain why the models were wrong about so much the last time.

Take New York, where Gov. Andrew Cuomo locked down the state in mid-March based on dire warnings. His public health experts projected the state would need as many as 140,000 hospital beds and 40,000 intensive care units—two to three times more regular hospital beds and 10 times more ICU beds than were available. The UW model forecast that 49,000 regular beds and 8,000 ICU beds would be needed at the peak.

New York was hit hard, but Covid-19 hospital bed utilization in New York peaked at 18,825 and 5,225 for ICUs in mid-April. Even in New York City, hospital utilization never exceeded 85% of capacity and 89% for ICUs. Government-run hospitals in low-income neighborhoods with the most cases were unprepared, but they were ill-managed before the pandemic.

New York was the country’s frontline in the coronavirus attack, and caution was needed in the early days because so little was known about the virus. The original UW model, which was based on the experiences in Italy and Wuhan, assumed that strict lockdowns would curb infections, reduce hospitalizations and lower deaths faster than they actually did in the Northeast.

Asked last month about when fatalities and hospitalizations would meet state thresholds for reopening, Mr. Cuomo responded: ‘All the early national experts, ‘Here’s my projection model.’ . . . They were all wrong. They were all wrong. . . . There are a lot of variables. I understand that. We didn’t know what the social distancing would actually amount to. I get it, but we were all wrong.’

Hospital utilization by Covid-19 patients in New York City has fallen 94% since the peak, which has allowed some non-essential treatments to resume. New York City has 29% of its hospital beds and 34% of its intensive care units now available. New cases have fallen by about 40% and new hospitalizations by a third in the last two weeks, despite the recent protests.

Warnings about reopening states are also overblown so far. While Arizona has had an uptick in hospitalizations, about 59% of its emergency beds and 17% of ICU beds are unused. A month ago, 43% of hospitalized patients with Covid were in the ICU. Now only a third are, suggesting that better and earlier treatment is easing disease severity.

In Texas, hospitalizations have also been climbing, but weekly fatalities are down 40% from a month ago. Covid-19 patients occupy fewer than 5% of all hospital beds, and more than a quarter are available. Even in Houston—which has experienced the biggest increase in hospitalizations—Covid-19 patients occupy only 6% of hospital beds. More than 20% are unused.”

According to an accompanying graph, Arizona had the greatest share of ICU beds occupied by Covid-19 patients, slightly more than 30% as of June 16.

“Covid-19 patients take up a small share of ICU beds in most states that have reopened including California (16%), Texas (11%), Georgia (10%), Utah (9%), Wisconsin (8%) and Florida (7%). Nearly all states have ample hospital and ICU capacity.

California Gov. Gavin Newsom started easing his strict lockdown six weeks ago, and restaurants, hair salons, retail stores and gyms are now allowed open in most counties outside of the Bay Area. While new cases have been rising due to more testing and in some cases from community spread, hospitalizations and fatalities have been flat since early May. In Los Angeles, ICU utilization has fallen by about 15% in the last month.

‘We have to recognize you can’t be in a permanent state where people are locked away—for months and months and months and months on end—to see lives and livelihoods completely destroyed, without considering the health impact of those decisions as well,’ Mr. Newsom said Monday.

Yet national Democrats and the press are still promoting worst-case predictions, almost as if they’re hoping for worse so they can prove Donald Trump wrong. The University of Washington now projects that reopening will cause deaths to triple in California and increase six-fold in Florida and Arizona through September.


But as Stanford epidemiologist John Ioannidis explains in a new paper, most models have overshot in part by making faulty assumptions about virus reproduction rates and homogenous susceptibility. A Massachusetts General Hospital model predicted more than 23,000 deaths within a month of Georgia reopening but the state had only 896.

‘In the presence of strong groupthink and bandwagon effects, modelers may consciously fit their predictions to what is the dominant thinking and expectations—or they may be forced to do so,’ Mr. Ioannidis writes. ‘Forecasts may be more likely to be published or disseminated,

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Global Warming

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #412

Quote of the Week: “I can live with doubt and uncertainty and not knowing. I think it is much more interesting to live not knowing than to have answers that might be wrong. If we will only allow that, as we progress, we remain unsure, we will leave opportunities for alternatives. We will not become…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #412

Quote of the Week: “I can live with doubt and uncertainty and not knowing. I think it is much more interesting to live not knowing than to have answers that might be wrong. If we will only allow that, as we progress, we remain unsure, we will leave opportunities for alternatives. We will not become enthusiastic for the fact, the knowledge, the absolute truth of the day, but remain always uncertain … In order to make progress, one must leave the door to the unknown ajar.” – Richard Feynman

Number of the Week: 11,000 & 1,600


By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP)

Dynamics in the Tropics: In 2017, Judith Curry retired from her tenured position as a professor at the School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at the Georgia Institute of Technology, where she had been Chair of the department, to focus on her private firm, Climate Forecasts Applications, citing the “craziness” of the field of climate science and the great politization of research funding. She has long recognized that there are major problems in the field, particularly in the dynamics of the atmosphere and the oceans in the tropics. As a climate modeler, she has first-hand knowledge of these problems, yet to be solved.

A former colleague at Georgia Tech, Peter Webster, has written what appears to be a significant book, Dynamics of The Tropical Atmosphere and Oceans. TWTW has not reviewed the book and the following is from what Curry has posted on her blog, Climate Etc. Of particular interest is that in 1967 as a young graduate student Webster took a course from Jule Charney, who headed the team that wrote the highly regarded 1979 Charney Report for the National Research Council. That report stated that the global warming from a doubling of carbon dioxide (CO2) is likely to be near 3°C ± 1.5°C.

The estimate was a significant increase from what laboratory experiments of the greenhouse effect of CO2 reported. The difference was a major increase in water vapor, the primary greenhouse gas, over the tropics. The Charney Report estimate, which was presented without any comprehensive atmospheric data supporting the conclusion, has been retained by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and its followers, including the US Global Change Research Program (USGCRP).

Both the IPCC and the USGCRP ignore the fact we have 40 years of comprehensive atmospheric temperature trends that contradict the 3°C ± 1.5°C estimate and indicate that 1.5°C is the more likely estimate and the global warming may be far less. Charney died in 1981, before the method of estimating atmospheric temperature trends from satellite measurements was developed.

A brilliant mathematician, Charney had been very influential in the development of numerical weather prediction and worked with J. von Neumann in using electronic computers to make forecasts by using dynamic equations of motion. These forecasts were based on an expanded network of daily radiosonde readings of the atmosphere using weather balloons. [The weather balloon data support the satellite temperature trend data as demonstrated by the Earth System Science Center at the University of Alabama in Huntsville (UAH).]

One can argue that by ignoring the satellite data, the IPCC, the USGCRP, and others have divorced themselves from the very foundation of the Charney Report and its estimates. With this background, Curry’s review of Webster’s book is of keen interest. Many of Curry’s comments are too involved for TWTW, but the gist of some key comments is presented below.

The blurb on states:

“Dynamics of The Tropical Atmosphere and Oceans” provides a detailed description of macroscale tropical circulation systems such as the monsoon, the Hadley and Walker Circulations, El Niño, and the tropical ocean warm pool. These macroscale circulations interact with a myriad of higher frequency systems, ranging from convective cloud systems to migrating equatorial waves that attend the low-frequency background flow.

“A comprehensive overview of the dynamics and thermodynamics of large-scale tropical atmosphere and oceans is presented using both a ‘reductionist’ and ‘holistic’ perspectives of the coupled tropical system. The reductionist perspective provides a detailed description of the individual elements of the ocean and atmospheric circulations. The physical nature of each component of the tropical circulation such as the Hadley and Walker circulations, the monsoon, the incursion of extratropical phenomena into the tropics, precipitation distributions, equatorial waves and disturbances described in detail. The holistic perspective provides a physical description of how the collection of the individual components produces the observed tropical weather and climate. How the collective tropical processes determine the tropical circulation and their role in global weather and climate is provided in a series of overlapping theoretical and modelling constructs.

“Following a detailed description of tropical phenomenology, the reader is introduced to dynamical and thermodynamical constraints that guide the planetary climate and establish a critical role for the tropics. Equatorial wave theory is developed for simple and complex background flows, including the critical role played by moist processes. The manner in which the tropics and the extratropics interact is then described, followed by a discussion of the physics behind the subtropical and near-equatorial precipitation including arid regions. The El Niño phenomena and the monsoon circulations are discussed, including their covariance and predictability. Finally, the changing structure of the tropics is discussed in terms of the extent of the tropical ocean warm pool and its relationship to the intensity of global convection and climate change.”

The table of contents is extensive and should be reviewed.

Curry states:

“Here is what stands out for me in the book.

“First, the book is ‘old school’ in the sense of integrating observations and theory.  This approach is surprisingly rare these days in climate dynamics, with its heavy reliance on global climate model simulations.  The book has a very strong foundation in fluid dynamics and wave dynamics.  At the same time, the mathematical developments are sufficiently clear to be followed by students, with additional details in the appendices.

“Second, the book presents an underlying philosophy for approaching the understanding of tropical dynamics, integrating reductionist and holistic approaches.

“Third, the book provides historical context for the development of our understanding.  Interesting historical snippets are provided, including biographical notes of key historical scientists.

“Fourth, the above three elements integrate to provide insights into the process of the science of climate dynamics, not merely a recitation of our current understanding

“Fifth, there are over 300 diagrams/figures in the book, including many originally drawn schematics that are very effective at providing insights and supporting understanding…”

As presented by Curry, in the conclusion of the book Webster writes that, in 1967, when Webster was a graduate student, Charney believed that virtually all the problems of numerical weather predictions had been solved, but a few islands of resistance held out. They were:

  • “What is the relationship between the turbulent boundary layer and synoptic scale variability?
  • How can steep gradients associated with fronts and topographic features be handled in models?
  • Do models correctly handle the cascade of energy between scales of motion?
  • How are convective processes and large-scale tropical circulations related?
  • What determines the structure, variability, and location of such preeminent tropical features as the ITCZ [Intertropical Convergence Zone] organized and maintained?”

As a new student, Webster found Charney’s view that virtually all the problems of numerical weather prediction have been solved was depressing. Now he writes:

“Now, over 45 years later, many new questions regarding the tropical system have arisen. It is interesting, though, to determine what progress has been made in solving Charney’s list of problems and how we have approached their solution.”

There are two major approaches to model the issues. One approach is reductionism: breaking things down into components, trying to solve the components, and then trying to reassemble the components. However, when making predictions, “we find that the reductionist approach does not help in the prediction of emergent (or unforeseen) phenomena.”

The second approach is called Holism. “Holism claims that complex systems are inherently irreducible and are more than the sum of their parts, owing to chaos and nonlinearities. Emergent behavior may arise from complex systems that cannot be deduced from consideration of the components of the system alone. Holism leads to ‘systems thinking’ and possesses derivatives such as chaos and complexity.”

Webster gives specific examples of concepts such as the Hadley Circulation and Rossby waves that cannot be predicted. He goes on to discuss that there are three levels of complexity, the simpler the complexity of a system the more likely a predictive skill may be developed. Webster describes that a simple system possesses two components, a complex system may have three or more components, and a tangled system may have multiple interacting systems.

Webster concludes his book with:

“So, what can we say about the problems Charney laid out in 1967? There has been substantial progress in the first two problems. In 1967, the grid point resolution of the earliest numerical weather models was hundreds of kilometers. Now it is closer to 10 km and will possess greater resolutions and become cloud resolving in the near future. The number of vertical levels has increased as well from only a few to over 50 in some operational models. Topographic relief is incorporated directly through use of the sigma-coordinate system. However, Charney’s third and fourth problems remain “islands of resistance” to this day. Simply, we still are uncertain about how equatorial dynamics and convection interact and the degree of their mutual dependency. With respect to the ITCZ, Section 13.1 offered six theories regarding the location of equatorial convection. Although some are stronger than others, their number is an indication that closure on the issue has not yet been reached. In addition, we have unearthed many new mysteries. One is the discovery of enclaves of disturbances existing within tropics made up of families of convection ranging from diurnal through synoptic and biweekly to intraseasonal.

“In retrospect, Charney’s tropical problems were not solved by the end of the semester, nor by the end of the decade, and not even in the present time. In fact, investigations of these problems have spawned many new exciting problems. It seems that I was needlessly depressed in 1967 about the future opportunities in tropical meteorology.”

For purposes of TWTW, this book is important in recognizing the complexity of the problem, which we do not understand and for which we do not have solutions at this time. Those who claim that the science is settled, or that it is simple physics do not know of what they speak. Those who make long-term predictions lack knowledge of the subject. In regard to greenhouse gases, the best we can do is to continue monitoring the atmosphere to ensure that it is not warming dangerously. See links under Seeking A Common Ground.


Shock Value: Last week’s TWTW presented a thoughtful discussion by Jim Steele on so-called ocean acidification. TWTW failed to mention an important quotation.

“Although Dr. Ken Caldeira purposefully promoted the term ‘ocean acidification’ to generate public concern about possible effects from increasing CO2, the term ‘ocean acidification’ has evoked undue fears and misunderstandings. As New Yorker journalist Elizabeth Kolbert reported, ‘Caldeira told me that he had chosen the term ‘ocean acidification’ quite deliberately, for its shock value. Seawater is naturally alkaline, with a pH ranging from 7.8 to 8.5—a pH of 7 is neutral—which means that, for now, at least, the oceans are still a long way from actually turning acidic.’”

Caldeira is an atmospheric scientist with the Department of Global Ecology of the Carnegie Institution for Science in Stanford, CA. Apparently, choosing words for shock value is one of his important scientific discoveries. See links under Challenging the Orthodoxy.


Hypothetical Electrons? The News Release claimed:

“The United States can deliver 90 percent clean, carbon-free electricity nationwide by 2035, dependably, at no extra cost to consumer bills and without the need for new fossil fuel plants, according to a study released today from the Center for Environmental Public Policy at the University of California, Berkeley.”

The claim is based on a report by the Goldmann School of Public Policy at Berkeley titled “2035 Report: Plummeting Solar, Wind, and Battery Costs Can Accelerate Our Clean Energy Future.” There were many similar claims in the UK when the Climate Change Act 2008 was passed and when appropriate policies were put into effect. Today, costs in the UK are increasing greatly, and electricity is becoming less reliable.

Writing for the UK Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF), John Constable has a collection of essays on the fragility of the power grid and that it may take £2-3 Billion a year to prevent blackouts. This follows other reports on grid-scale storage, costs of offshore power, and similar reports by distinguished authors for the GWPF. All too frequently energy modelers bury their assumptions which should be clearly stated and evaluated. [The US energy models claiming the country would run out of oil and natural gas in the 20th century are examples.]

Rather than point by point analysis of assumptions sometimes it is far easier to take the position of former president Harry Truman from the “Show Me” state of Missouri. Give examples where a modern country operates without fossil fuels. They do not exist; even for electricity alone, they do not exist without nuclear. The problem with wind and solar is storage, a problem which is greatly underestimated. The only reliable storage on a commercial scale is pumped hydro storage, which Denmark relies on (thanks to Norway and Sweden), at significant cost to Denmark.

Called the largest battery in the world, the pumped hydro storage station in Bath, Virginia, is the world’s largest such facility. It was opened in 1985 and has maximum generation capacity of 3,003 Megawatts (MW), and a total storage capacity of 24,000 Megawatt hours (MWh). The elevation difference between the two reservoirs is about 1,260 feet (380 m) and the cost was about $4 billion in 2019 dollars. It can operate at maximum capacity for three hours, then due to dropping water level in the upper reservoir, the generation declines on a sliding scale to zero in 11 hours. During the last 8 hours after peak capacity, the average capacity is 1,864 MWh

Designed for peak shaving, when demand is the greatest, such as in August, it works well in balancing the load for the grid operator, JPM Interconnection, which covers parts of 13 states.

However, the key is refill, which comes from reliable nuclear and coal-fired plants. During weeks in August, the daily refill is not sufficient to top the upper reservoir, and refill continues during the weekends. Bermuda highs off the coast of the Mid-Atlantic states can last for days to weeks in August, rendering refill by wind power impossible.

Given current environmental regulations, it is doubtful such a facility would be approved in the US today.

Several efforts have been made to generate electricity without fossil fuels on isolated islands. They have failed. Claiming to provide all energy, El Hierro in the Canary Islands tried wind power and pumped hydro storage. A careful engineering analysis by the late Roger Andrews showed that over three years it failed to generate sufficient electricity, alone, about 50% of the time and diesel was required. King Island off Tasmania tried wind and solar power with batteries, dynamic resisters, flywheel, and reduced demand. It fails about 35% of the time and diesel is required.

Very simply, there is a big difference between modelers designing a hypothetical electrical system and engineers designing a real one. See links under Defending the Orthodoxy, Questioning European Green, and Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Energy – Storage.


Imagining Snowstorms? The National Science Foundation claimed: “Climate change could dramatically reduce US snowstorms.” According to the announcement:

“The researchers tracked snowstorms for 12 seasons in the early part of this century, establishing a control sample that was representative of actual observations. They then tracked snowstorms to see how those winter events would change in a climate that was warmer by about 5 degrees Celsius (9 degrees Fahrenheit). That temperature increase is predicted for the late 21st century by averaging 19 leading climate models in an upper-limit greenhouse gas emissions scenario.

“The study is believed to be the first to objectively identify and track individual snowstorm projections of the distant future — from minor snow accumulations to average winter storms to crippling blizzards.” [Boldface added]

In CO2 Science, the staff reported on a 2019 study by Connelly, et al. “Northern Hemisphere snow-cover trends (1967-2018): A comparison between climate models and observations” published in the journal Geosciences. The report stated:

“In concluding their paper, the researchers state the obvious, offering ‘we recommend that the climate model projections of future and past snow-cover trends should be treated with considerable caution and skepticism,’ adding that ‘it is important that [policy makers] planning for future changes in snow cover do not rely on unreliable projections.’ And that is good advice to end a very important and revealing study.”

Given that climate models greatly overestimate atmospheric warming over the past 25 years and have huge problems as partially described above, TWTW has difficulty accepting the NSF claim. See links under Defending the Orthodoxy and Review of Recent Scientific Articles by CO2 Science




Since 2012, SEPP conducted an annual vote for the recipient of the coveted trophy, The Jackson, a lump of coal. Readers are asked to nominate and vote for who they think is most deserving, following these criteria:

  • The nominee has advanced, or proposes to advance, significant expansion of governmental power, regulation, or control over the public or significant sections of the general economy.
  • The nominee does so by declaring such measures are necessary to protect public health, welfare, or the environment.
  • The nominee declares that physical science supports such measures.
  • The physical science supporting the measures is flimsy at best, and possibly non-existent.

The eight past recipients, Lisa Jackson (12), Barrack Obama (13), John Kerry (14), Ernest Moniz (15), Michael Mann (16), Christiana Figueres (17), Jerry Brown (18), and AOC (19) are not eligible. Generally, the committee that makes the selection prefers a candidate with a national or international presence. The voting will close on June 30. Please send your nominee and a brief reason why the person is qualified for the honor to [email protected] Thank you.


Number of the Week: 11,000 & 1,600. According to Wikipedia, the population of El Hierro is 10,968 (2019) and the population of King Island 1,585 (2016). Energy modelers claim we can provide 90% of electricity to the 328 million (2019) in the US using wind and solar plus storage techniques that fail in areas with 0.003% of the population 50% of the time?

Science: Is the Sun Rising?

New ‘sun clock’ quantifies extreme space weather switch on/off

News Release, University of Warwick, June 10, 2020 [H/t GWPF]

Link to paper: Quantifying the Solar Cycle Modulation of Extreme Space Weather

By Chapman, McIntosh, Leamon & Watkins, Geophysical Research Letters, May 30, 2020

Commentary: Is the Sun Rising?

New research deepens understanding of Earth’s interaction with the solar wind

By Staff Writers, Plainsboro NJ (SPX), Jun 03, 2020

Link to paper: Kinetic simulations of piston-driven collisionless shock formation in magnetized laboratory plasmas

By D.B. Schaeffer, et al, Physics of Plasmas, April 7, 2020


Global Warming: Facebook Thinks Its Opinion Is Better Than Yours

By Pat Michaels, CO2 Coalition, June 2020

Leaked Emails Call for Censorship of Michael Moore’s New Film

By Charles Rotter, WUWT, June 9, 2020

Challenging the Orthodoxy — NIPCC

Climate Change Reconsidered II: Physical Science

Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), 2013


Climate Change Reconsidered II: Biological Impacts

Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), 2014


Climate Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels

By Multiple Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change, April 2019

Download with no charge:

Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming

The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus

By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015

Download with no charge:

Nature, Not Human Activity, Rules the Climate

S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008

Global Sea-Level Rise: An Evaluation of the Data

By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Policy Brief, May 20, 2019

Challenging the Orthodoxy

Ocean Health – Is there an “Acidification” problem?

By Jim Steele, et al. CO2 Coalition, June 2020

20 Years On, Jurassic Park Author Michael Crichton is Still Right about Global Warming

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, June 8, 2020

[SEPP Comment: He understood the difference between science and science fiction.]

Time to give up the fantasy

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, June 10, 2020

[SEPP Comment: Climate modeling games – aerosols v. CO2]

Defending the Orthodoxy

U.S. can reach 90% clean energy by 2035 without higher costs, report says

News Release, University of California – Berkeley, June 11, 2020 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

Link to report: 2035 Report: Plummeting Solar, Wind, and Battery Costs Can Accelerate Our Clean Energy Future

By Amol Phadke, et al, Goldman School of Public Policy, June 2020

Climate change could dramatically reduce US snowstorms

By Staff, NSF, June 10, 2020

Link to paper: Reduced frequency and size of late-twenty-first-century snowstorms over North America

By Walker Ashley, et al, Nature Climate Change, May 25, 2020

From NSF Award Abstract: Awarded Amount to Date: $321,074.00

Ocean geoengineering tests violate UN convention: green groups

By Patrick Galey, Paris (AFP), June 8, 2020

Questioning the Orthodoxy

Cooling In Eurasia, North America, Africa, Australia, South America, Greenland, Antarctica Undercuts ‘Global’ Warming

By Kenneth Richard, No Tricks Zone, June 11, 2020

What pandemic?

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, June 10, 2020

“But if it were not, it might be due to the fact that, as Indur Goklany put it, based on a new report on the subject, ‘Death and disease from climate-sensitive diseases and events are small relative to those from all causes, and getting smaller’.”

Social Benefits of Carbon Dioxide

Trees wither into saplings

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, June 10, 2020

Problems in the Orthodoxy

‘Final blow’ to aviation climate plan as EU agrees to weaken rules

By Chloé Farand, Climate Home News, June 9, 2020 [H/t WUWT]

“EU member states will back an industry proposal to reduce airlines’ climate obligations in response to the coronavirus pandemic, at the UN aviation forum”

Seeking a Common Ground

Dynamics of the Tropical Atmosphere and Oceans

By Judith Curry, Climate Etc. June 9, 2020

Jule Gregory Charney

By Norman Phillips, Biographical Memories, National Academies Press, Accessed June 13, 2020

Two ends to Climate Change debate; Experts vary on impact on rain, cyclones

By Jyoti Mukul, Business Standard, India, June 7, 2020 [H/t GWPF]

Science, Policy, and Evidence

Large Scale Contact Tracing Poses Greater Dangers Than the Virus

By Larry Bell, Newmax, June 8, 2020

Excess Deaths Associated with COVID-19

Provisional Death Counts for Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19)

By Staff, CDC, Updated June 3, 2020 [H/t Gordon Fulks]

Hydroxychloroquine Farce Has Tragic Consequences

By Lionel Laurent, Bloomberg, June 8, 2020 [By Bernie Kepshire]

NOW you tell us: WHO finds ‘asymptomatic’ carriers not spreading coronavirus

Assumption central to economy-killing policy of social distancing

By Staff, WND, June 8, 2020 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

Review of Recent Scientific Articles by CO2 Science

Gross Primary Productivity Trends in China (1982-2015)

Yao, Y., Wang, X., Li, Y., Wang, T., Shen, M., Du, M., He, H., Li, Y., Luo, W., Ma, M., Ma, Y., Tang, Y., Wang, H., Zhang, X., Zhang, Y., Zhao, L., Zhou, G. and Piao, S. 2018. Spatiotemporal pattern of gross primary productivity and its covariation with climate in China over the last thirty years. Global Change Biology 24: 184-196. June 12, 2020

“So, based on the results of the study presented above, not only is the vegetation across China in the midst of a long period of great productivity gains, those gains are primarily linked to the very factor climate alarmists contend should be causing vegetative dieback, i.e., rising temperature. Climate alarmists couldn’t be more wrong!”

Combined Effects of Elevated CO2 and Temperature on Eastern Cottonwood

Yadav, S.K., Singh, H., Nautiyal, R., Ginwal, H.S., Ansari, S.A. and Barthwal, S. 2020. Modulation of morpho-physiological responses in Populus deltoides by elevated carbon dioxide and temperature. Forest Science 66: 105-118. June 10, 2020

“Commenting on these important findings, Yadav et al. write ‘our results emphatically demonstrate that P. deltoides G48 possesses genomic plasticity to adapt to the future projected increases in atmospheric CO2 concentration (800 ppm) and temperature (approximately 2.6-4.8 °C) by the end of the 21st century,’ which adaptation is ‘expected to improve stomatal density and size, chloroplast development, organization of photosynthetic apparatus, and efficient partitioning of photosynthates among different vital organs.’”

Observed vs Predicted Trends in Northern Hemisphere Snow Cover

Connolly, R., Connolly, M., Soon, W., Legates, D.R., Cionco, R.G. and Herrera, V.M.V. 2019. Northern Hemisphere snow-cover trends (1967-2018): A comparison between climate models and observations. Geosciences 9: 135, doi:10.3390/geosciences9030135.

Models v. Observations

Antarctic sea-ice models improve for the next IPCC report

News Release, University of Washington, June 20, 2020 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

Link to paper: Antarctic Sea Ice Area in CMIP6

By Lettie A. Roach, Geophysical Research Letters, Apr 17, 2020

From the abstract:” Over 1979–2018, many models simulate strong negative trends in SIA concurrently with stronger‐than‐observed trends in global mean surface temperature (GMST). By the end of the 21st century, models project clear differences in sea ice between forcing scenarios.”

Model Issues

Has the British scientific establishment made its biggest error in history?

A strange obsession with mathematical modelling has compromised the country’s covid response

By Matt Ridley, Rational Optimist, June 6, 2020

Sensitivity a la carte

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, June 10, 2020

Link to video on ECS:

“Which translates as: The predictions aren’t right or wrong, you just choose which one you want. Which is useful to keep in mind the next time you are told that climate models predict some disaster or other down the road if we don’t do as we’re told and stop driving or having jobs.”

Research study improves solar radiation forecasting models by 30%

By Staff, Carlos III University of Madrid, June 9, 2020 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

Link to papers: A short-term solar radiation forecasting system for the Iberian Peninsula. Part 1: Models description and performance assessment

By Francisco J. Rodríguez-Beníteza, et al. Solar Energy, Jan 1, 2020

and A short-term solar radiation forecasting system for the Iberian Peninsula. Part 2: Model blending approaches based on machine learning

By Javier Huertas-Tatoa, et al. Solar Energy, Jan 1, 2020

[SEPP Comment: These models may reduce the error of 6-hour forecasts in “sunny” Spain and Portugal by 25 to 30%. Will they work in cloudy England?”

Measurement Issues — Surface

DWD Reverses: Admits Data From Germany’s Infamous Ultra-Hot Lingen Weather Station Need To Be Rechecked

By P Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, June 10, 2020

Measurement Issues — Atmosphere

DLR’s Christiane Voigt reports on the research flights of the BLUESKY mission

By Falk Dambowsky, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany (SPX), Jun 05, 2020

“In terms of air traffic, the number of flights over Europe decreased by almost 90 percent in April 2020 when compared to the previous year. We are looking to measure the resulting changes to the concentrations of aerosols and nitrogen oxides at cruising heights over Germany and the North Atlantic flight corridor, so we are planning our routes accordingly.”

Changing Weather

Something odd about the weather

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, June 10, 2020

“It’s ‘normal’. Strange!”

Second Coolest Start To The Year In The US

By Tony Heller, His Blog, June 7, 2020

1919 or 2019? Victoria BC Edition

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, June 10, 2020


This Date In 1925

By Tony Heller, His Blog, June 7, 2020

The Upcoming Wildfire Season: Near Normal Conditions Should Prevail

By Cliff Mass, Weather Blog, June 9, 2020

“…there is no reason at this point to  expect an unusual wildfire season over Washington State this summer.”

Changing Seas

Island ‘drowning’ is not inevitable as sea levels rise

News release, University of Plymouth, June 10, 2020

Coral reef islands can accrete vertically in response to sea level rise

By Gerd Masselink, Science, June 10, 2020 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

Forget Sea Level Rise: Ocean Deepening Is Here!

By David Middleton, WUWT, June 10. 2020

Link to Norwegian article (in English) Oceans are at their deepest in 250 million years

And they have hardly been deeper in the last 400 million years than now.

By Lasse Biørnstad, Science Norway, June 8, 2020

Link to paper: A tracer-based algorithm for automatic generation of seafloor age grids from plate tectonic reconstructions

By Krister S.Karlsen, et al. Computers & Geosciences, July 2020

Climate change has degraded productivity of shelf sea food webs

News Release, University of Plymouth, June 7, 2020 [H/t WUWT]

Unable to locate article in Global Change Biology

And it’s… worse than we thought

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, June 10, 2020

Europe’s beaches steadily getting cleaner: report

By Staff Writers, Copenhagen (AFP), June 8, 2020

Changing Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice

Nitrogen in permafrost soils may exert great feedbacks on climate change

News Release, Chinese Academy of Sciences, June 12, 2020 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

Link to paper: The Forgotten Nutrient—The Role of Nitrogen in Permafrost Soils of Northern China

By Elisabeth Ramm, et al., Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, May 23, 2020

[SEPP Comment: The assumed  huge water vapor feedback has not appeared, nitrogen feedback may not appear as well. Nitrous oxide (N2O) comprises 0.00003% of atmospheric gases. As the permafrost thaws, the N2O (plant fertilizer) may be used on the spot by growing vegetation. The paper describes research that has begun but does not present findings.]

A tiny arctic shrub reveals secrets of plant growth on Svalbard

By Staff Writers, Trondheim, Norway (SPX), Jun 08, 2020

Link to paper: Climate synchronises shrub growth across a high‐arctic archipelago: contrasting implications of summer and winter warming

By Mathilde Le Moullec, et al., Oikos, Mar 5, 2020

New Study Finds The Larsen Ice Shelf (Antarctic Peninsula) Has Cooled More Than 2°C Since 1991

By Kenneth Richard, No Tricks Zone, June 8, 2020

Link to paper: Recent Near-surface Temperature Trends in the Antarctic Peninsula from Observed, Reanalysis and Regional Climate Model Data

By Deniz Bozkurt, et al. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, May 2020

[SEPP Comment: Based on model simulations and a few observation sites, the Antarctic Peninsula has warmed but the leeward [downwind] side of the peninsula ridge has cooled over the period 1991−2015. The peninsula has the mildest climate on the continent thus it has the highest concentration of Antarctic research stations, many outside the Antarctic Circle.]

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Changing Earth

False Alarm: Earth’s Magnetic Field Not On Verge Of Flip

By David Whitehouse, GWPF, June 10, 2020

Link to further discussion: Swarm probes weakening of Earth’s magnetic field

By Staff, European Space Agency, May 20, 2020

Un-Science or Non-Science?

Extreme waves set to get bigger and more frequent due to climate change

News Release, University of Melbourne, June 11, 2020

Link to paper: Projected 21st century changes in extreme wind-wave events

By Alberto Meucci, et al. Science Advances, June 10, 2020

Lowering Standards

BBC “Astonished” By Perfectly Usual Arctic Weather!

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, June 10, 2020

Eminence Over Evidence: The Lancet’s COVID-19 Retraction

By Chuck Dinerstein, ACSH, June 5, 2020

“If the Lancet publishes it, then it must be true.”

Communicating Better to the Public – Use Yellow (Green) Journalism?

Borrowed time: Climate change threatens U.S. mortgage market

“Everyone is exposed” as taxpayer-backed loans and insurance face a coming storm.

By Zack Colman and Katy )’Donnell, Politico, June 9, 2020 [H/t WTWT]

‘Megadrought’ and ‘Aridification’ — Understanding t

The New Language of a Warming World

By Tara Lohan, The Revelator, June 8, 2020

Communicating Better to the Public – Exaggerate, or be Vague?

Nature’s ‘slow lanes’ offer hope for species feeling heat of climate change

News Release, Oregon State University, June 9, 2020 [H/t Ken Schlichte]

[SEPP Comment: Global warming has a slow lane?]

Climate change brings fires, floods and moths to Siberia

By Marina Lapenkova, Moscow (AFP), June 9, 2020

Communicating Better to the Public – Make things up.

Natural Climate Forces Dominate: New Paper Shows CO2 Doesn’t Lead To More Weather Blocking: “Quite Some Nonsense”

By Die kalte Sonne (German text edited by P. Gosselin), No Tricks Zone, June 9, 2020

Link to paper: Decadal predictability of North Atlantic blocking and the NAO

By Panos J. Athanasiadis, et al., Nature, June 3, 2020

Coal Free? But We Still Rely Heavily On Fossil Fuels, Justin!

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, June 9, 2020

Deep-sixing the settled science

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, June 10, 2020

[SEPP Comment: According to the Guardian, a physical phenomenon that occurs in the atmosphere is hiding in the deep oceans!]

Sorry, Weather Channel, Mangroves Will NOT Disappear in 30 Years

By James Taylor, Climate Realism, June 12, 2020

Communicating Better to the Public – Do a Poll?

Public Now More Concerned About Coronavirus Than Climate Change

Press Release, GWPF, Jun3 9, 2020

UK Not Really Buying Into Climate Activism

By Robert Bradley Jr., Master Resource, June 11, 2020

Communicating Better to the Public – Use Propaganda

An Endlessly Renewable Source of Green Agitprop

By Alan Moran, Quadrant, June 9, 2020

Communicating Better to the Public – Use Propaganda on Children

School Children Brainwashed About Climate Change

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, June 8, 2020

“Whoever has written this guide clearly has little knowledge about the subject, and has simply picked up a few talking points and applied a large dose of alarmism.

“The worry of course is that it is not just the guide we are talking about. The whole of that particular GCSE course would have been based around the same nonsense.”

From the guide: “CO2 levels have gone up and down throughout history although they have never been as high as they are now.”

“Sea levels could rise by as much as 1 metre by the end of the century.”

“Extreme weather events such as hurricanes are likely to occur more often.”

[SEPP Comment: Critique of the General Certificate of Secondary Education (GCSE) revision guide for Welsh students.]

Communicating Better to the Public – Use Children for Propaganda

Greta Thunberg Demands Canada and Norway Stop Expanding Fossil Fuel Extraction

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, June 10, 2020

“Update (EW): Michael Mann adding his support to Greta’s UN diplomacy effort”

Not now Greta, we are trying to save the global economy

By Matthew Lynn, The Telegraph, UK, Via GWPF, June 8, 2020

Expanding the Orthodoxy

IMF Deputy Director Zhang: We need a “Much Higher Carbon Price”

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, June 9, 2020

Questioning European Green

UK Consumers Face £2-3 Billion Annual Bill To Prevent Green Energy Blackouts

Press Release, GWPF, June 10, 2020

Link to collection of essays: The Brink of Darkness: Britain’s Fragile Power Grid

By John Constable, GWPF, 2020

Germany’s Green Energy Costs Are Becoming Unaffordable

By Staff, Bloomberg, Via GWPF, June 7, 2020

Questioning Green Elsewhere

The Green New Deal Dress Rehearsal

By Paul Driessen, Cornwall Alliance, June 10, 2020

Reality Is Gradually Catching Up To Green Energy

By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, June 8, 2020

For The Developing World A ‘Green’ Post-Pandemic Reset Is A Luxury, Not A Necessity

By Tilak Doshi, Forbes, June 9, 2020–lessons-for-the-east/#5fa768013307

Funding Issues

Eco groups fear green recovery may get watered down

By Sandor Zsiros, EuroNews, June 11, 2020 [H/t GWPF]

Green cities roadmap touts COVID-19 recovery stimulus

Australian roadmap says greening cities can help kickstart economy

News Release, University of Melbourne, June 8, 2020

Litigation Issues

Next Up In The Stupidest Litigation In The Country: The Science?

By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, June 11, 2020

See link immediately below.

Climate litigation: big oil must fight on the science or die

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley, WUWT, June 8, 2020

Subsidies and Mandates Forever

BBC Brags About Hornsea Wind Farm–But Forgets To Mention The Cost

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, June 9, 2020

“But here’s the rub. Whether prices are high or low, Hornsea’s owners will receive their guaranteed price anyway. The system even allows them to sell every single unit of electricity they generate, and if there is a surplus of power in the market, they will get paid NOT to produce.

“The contract price for Hornsea is £162.47/MWh, which under CfD is a guaranteed price, which will be index linked for 15 years. In short, a licence to print money.”

As Subsidies Run Out, 5000 German Wind Farms [Turbines] Face Shutdown

By Staff, Energie Zukunft, Via GWPF, June 12, 2020

“Germany has 29,844 wind turbines, which account for nearly 56 GW of installed wind power capacity.” IEA Wind, 2017

Energy Issues – Non-US

Greens On Back Foot As Germany’s Newest Coal Plant Opens

By Staff, Financial Times, Via GWPF, June 8, 2020

Energy Issues – Australia

Desperate signs: Australian companies will be paid to use less electricity

By Jo Nova, Her Blog, June 11, 2020

Indigenous Coal Power Entrepreneurs Frustrated by Broken Promises and Lack of Support

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, June 12, 2020

Welcome to Renewable Energy Australia, Where Businesses are Paid to Shut Down

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, June 11, 2020

[SEPP Comment: Great propaganda photo, better than the NYT showing steam billowing from chimneys darkening the skies.]

Energy Issues — US

New York Approves Largest Wind Farm Ever, But Not Everyone Is Happy About It

By Steve Hanley, Cleantechnia, June 7, 2020

“This week, the New York State Siting Board approved the $454 million Alle-Catt wind farm project which will generate 340 megawatts of electricity — enough to power 134,000 homes — from 116 turbines spread over 30,000 acres of private lands…”

[SEPP Comment: Who pays for the generating capacity needed when part-time power fails? The author discusses the dilemma that the governor is removing local control over land use issues for wind-power while the president is removing local and state control over land use issues for fossil-fuel power.]

Heart of Hawaii: Oil Powers Oahu’s Sustainable Energy Program

By David Shormann, Master Resource, June 10, 2020

[SEPP Comment: Using all the land for unreliable power will eliminate housing, thus lessen demand.]

How Virginia’s Green New Deal Will Add to Residents’ COVID-19 Costs

By Kevin Mooney, The Daily Signal, June 7, 2020

Oil and Natural Gas – the Future or the Past?

Is A Shale Comeback On The Horizon?

By Haley Zaremba, Oil, June 11, 2020

U.S. Shale Companies Are Turning the Oil Taps Back On

By Staff, WSJ, Via GWPF, June 8, 2020

BP To Slash 10,000 Jobs As Coronavirus Creates Slump In Energy Markets

By Varun Hukeri, Daily Caller, June 8, 2020

Nuclear Energy and Fears

China Threatens To Pull Plug On New UK Nuclear Plants

By Staff, The Sunday Times, Via GWPF, June 7, 2020

Trump administration seeks to use global aid for nuclear projects

By Rebecca Beitsch, The Hill, June 11, 2020

“The Wednesday proposal from the Development Finance Corporation (DFC) would make it perhaps the only government development agency in the world to use its funds to back nuclear projects.”

[SEPP Comment: Nonsense! The report contradicts itself. Also, see the link about China immediately above. The development of small nuclear reactors is further along than the development of the technology of making wind and solar reliable sources of electricity.]

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Solar and Wind

LEEDCO Update: Offshore Lake Erie (Ohio) Project In Trouble in Year 11

By Sherri Lange and Suzanne Albright, Master Resource, June 9, 2020

“‘Lake Erie is the Saudi Arabia of wind … represent[ing] 20 percent of the United States’ total offshore wind energy capacity.’ (Congresswoman Marcy Kaptur, May 18, 2016)”

[SEPP Comment: With smart drilling and hydraulic fracturing, is the US the Saudi Arabia of oil and natural gas?]

Thanks To Renewables And Machine Learning, Google Now Forecasts The Wind

By Jeff McMahon, Forbes, May 31, 2020

[SEPP Comment: Predictability a day ahead is a small part of the big problem, sustainability 24/7. Would Google run their data centers on wind alone?]

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Energy — Other

BBC : Burning Wood Doesn’t Generate CO2

By Tony Heller, His Blog, June 9, 2020

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Energy — Storage

Bath County Pumped Storage Station

By Staff, Dominion Energy, Accessed June 11, 2020

Pumped Storage in Bath County

By Staff, Virginia Places, Accessed June 11, 2020

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Vehicles

Germany Evaluates Fuel Cell Cars

By Donn Dears, Power For USA, June 9, 2020

California Dreaming

California Continues to Inflict More Costs onto the Energy Used by Residents

Rather than reducing demand, the state imposes more costs on the supply

By Ronald Stein, WUWT, June 10, 2020

Other Scientific News

Astrophysicists confirm cornerstone of Einstein’s Theory of Relativity

By Staff Writers, Manchester UK (SPX), Jun 11, 2020

Link to paper: An improved test of the strong equivalence principle with the pulsar in a triple star system

By G. Voisin, et al, Astronomy & Astrophysics, June 10, 2020

The brain uses minimum effort to look for key information in text

By analysing brain activity, researchers found that the brain regulates its resource use and tries to identify the most essential information

News Release, University of Helsinki, June 11, 2020 [H/t WUWT]

Link to paper: Information gain modulates brain activity evoked by reading

By Lauri Kangassalo, Michiel Spapé, Niklas Ravaja & Tuukka Ruotsalo, Nature Scientific Reports, May 6, 2020

Ancient asteroid impacts created the ingredients of life on Earth and Mars

By Staff Writers, Sendai, Japan (SPX), Jun 09, 2020

Ecohydrologists show environmental damage from loss of fog is observable from outer space

Satellite data can detect impact on vegetation of fog loss due to climate change

By Staff, NSF, June 10, 2020

Link to paper: Satellite observed positive impacts of fog on vegetation

By Na Qiao, et al. Geophysical Research Letters, June 4, 2020

Other News that May Be of Interest

The Worthwhile Warts of Historical Figures

By Tristan Heiner, Quadrant, June 13, 2020

Return of the otter: How reintroduced predators benefit ecosystems

By Ivan Couronne, Washington (AFP), June 11, 2020

[SEPP Comment: Will greens claim the return of sea otters is evidence of global warming, as they did with elephant seals?]


Study: Educating Poor People Increases Global CO2 Emissions

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, June 10, 2020

Link to paper: The effect of education on determinants of climate change risks

By Brian C. O’Neill, et al. Nature Sustainability, Apr 13, 2020

[SEPP Comment: One of the authors is the daughter of long time IPCC head Rajemdra Pachauri.]

Democrat introduces bill to prevent presidents from nuking hurricanes

By Zack Budryk, The Hill, June 9, 2020

Penguins give it to climate

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, June 10, 2020

New York City to Expand Bus-Only Corridors

Some 16.5 miles of bus lanes to be added to Manhattan, the Bronx, Queens and Staten Island, and 3.5 miles of busways

By Katie Honan, WSJ, June 8, 2020

“Parts of Manhattan’s Fifth Avenue and sections of other major streets in New York City soon will become bus-only corridors to increase transit service, alleviate overcrowding and combat the spread of the new coronavirus, Mayor Bill de Blasio said Monday.”

[SEPP Comment: Expanding exposure to the virus to combat it? The mayor apparently believes all he does, as a progressive, is progress.]


1. The Covid Age Penalty

New patient data offers a guide to opening while protecting seniors.

Editorial, WSJ, June 12, 2020

TWTW Summary: The editorial begins:

“By now it’s clear that people older than 65 are the most vulnerable to the novel coronavirus, and the age penalty is especially severe for the elderly with underlying health conditions. This is a tragedy in lives cut short, but it also means that states and cities should be able to lift their lockdowns safely if they focus on protecting vulnerable Americans.

“About 80% of Americans who have died of Covid-19 are older than 65, and the median age is 80. A review by Stanford medical professor John Ioannidis last month found that individuals under age 65 accounted for 4.8% to 9.3% of all Covid-19 deaths in 10 European countries and 7.8% to 23.9% in 12 U.S. locations.

“For most people under the age of 65, the study found, the risk of dying from Covid-19 isn’t much higher than from getting in a car accident driving to work. In California and Florida, the fatality risk for the under-65 crowd is about equal to driving 16 to 17 miles per day. While higher in hot spots like New York (668 miles) and New Jersey (572 miles), the death risk is still lower than the public perceives.

“The risk climbs especially for those over age 80. According to the Foundation for Research on Equal Opportunity, Americans over 85 are about 2.75 times more likely to die from Covid-19 than those 75 to 84, seven times more likely than those 65 to 74 and 16.8 times more than those 55 to 64.

“Fatality rate comparisons between Covid-19 and the flu are inapt because they affect populations differently. Children under age 14 are between 6.8 and 17 times less likely to die of Covid-19 than the seasonal flu or pneumonia, assuming 150,000 coronavirus deaths this year. Those 25 to 85 are two to four times more likely to die of Covid while those over 85 are about 1.7 times more likely.

“As treatments have improved over the course of the pandemic, fewer young people are dying. In late March, Americans over age 75 made up about half of all weekly deaths (see chart nearby) while those under 45 made up between four and five percent. Now those over 75 make up about two-thirds of deaths while those younger than 45 make up less than 2%.

“Older people generally have weaker immune systems and more have underlying respiratory and cardiovascular conditions that appear to exacerbate the illness. More than 95% of people who have died in the United Kingdom had at least one underlying condition. Italian public-health officials have also reported that 96% of deaths involved one chronic condition, and 60% had three or more.

“Nursing homes are especially vulnerable because they have large numbers of elderly in cramped quarters. They now account for more than 50% of Covid-19 fatalities in 30 or so states, including Arizona, Washington, Illinois, Pennsylvania and Massachusetts.

“The good news is that most people over age 65 who are in generally good health are unlikely to die or get severely ill from Covid-19.”

Then the editorial concludes with specific examples


The Media’s Self-Censors

The pre-liberal idea of settling disagreements with coercion has made a comeback in the United States.

By Daniel Henninger, WSJ, June 10, 2020

TWTW Summary: The journalist begins with:

“In 1789, America’s Founding Fathers, acutely aware of the political bloodbaths that had consumed Europe for centuries, created a system in which disagreements would be arbitrated by periodically allowing the public to turn their opinions into votes. The majority would win the election. Then, because political disagreement never ends, you hold more elections. Aware of the natural tendency of factions and majorities to want to suppress opposition opinion, the Founders created a Bill of Rights for all citizens, including what they called, with unmistakable clarity, ‘the freedom of speech.’

“Nothing lasts forever, and so it is today in the U.S., where the pre-liberal idea of settling disagreements with coercion has made a comeback.

“In the past week, the editorial page editor of the New York Times, the editor of the Philadelphia Inquirer and the editors of Bon Appétit magazine and the young women’s website Refinery 29 have been forced out by the staff and owners of their publications for offenses regarded as at odds with the beliefs of the current protests.

“It is impossible not to recognize the irony of these events. The silencers aren’t campus protesters but professional journalists, a class of American workers who for nearly 250 years have had a constitutionally protected and court-enforced ability to say just about anything they want. Historically, people have been attracted to American journalism because it was the freest imaginable place to work for determined, often quirky individualists. Suddenly, it looks like the opposite of that.

“The idea that you could actually lose your job, as the Inquirer’s editor did, because of a headline on an opinion piece that said ‘Buildings Matter, Too’ is something to ponder. It sounds like a made-up incident that one might expect in a work of political satire, such as George Orwell’s ‘Animal Farm.’

“The issue here is not about the assertion that racism is endemic in the U.S. The issue is the willingness by many to displace the American system of free argument with a system of enforced, coerced opinion and censorship, which forces comparison to the opinion-control mechanisms that existed in Eastern Europe during the Cold War.

“In 2006, the movie ‘The Lives of Others’ dramatized how the Stasi, the omnipresent East German surveillance apparatus, pursued a nonconforming writer, whose friends were intimidated into abandoning him. To survive this kind of enforced thought-concurrence in the Soviet Union or Communist Eastern Europe, writers resorted to circulating their uncensored ideas as underground literature called samizdat. Others conveyed their ideas as political satire. In Vaclav Havel’s 1965 play, ‘The Memorandum,’ a Czech office worker is demoted to ‘staff watcher,’ whose job is to monitor his colleagues. You won’t see Havel’s anticensorship plays staged in the U.S. anytime soon.”

The journalist concludes with other examples of silencing or shunning. As demonstrated by Judith Curry leaving Georgia Tech, silencing or shunning is common in academia today.

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